糖心传媒

Unless Mr. Putin’s madness is taken off the equation, the world’s hurtling towards a world war which humanity can鈥檛 afford and doesn’t want for all the obvious reasons.

 

Since communism鈥檚 demise in 1991, the West鈥檚 and Putin’s struggle for power has placed all the countries under their influence, and those countries caught in between them, at grave risk.

 

In the past 30 years, many of the former Soviet republics joined EU and NATO that increasingly alarmed Russia. Putin views this 鈥渆ncirclement鈥� and 鈥渃ontainment鈥� by US-led NATO as a grave threat to its national security and interests. It鈥檚 also monkey wrenching his widely-viewed attempt to cobble back the old Soviet empire and Warsaw Pact to serve as Russia鈥檚 buffer zone and security belt.

 

Ukraine was Russia鈥檚 ultimate 鈥渞ed line.鈥�

 

Ukraine is Europe鈥檚 second largest country next to Russia. It鈥檚 mineral-resource rich and strategically positioned. Mr. Putin repeatedly sought security guarantees from the West that Ukraine stay neutral, like Finland, to serve as buffer between the West and Russia. Ukraine has been lobbying for membership in EU and NATO since 2008. Ironically, Ukraine has not been accepted to this day, unable to hurdle certain requirements to merit approval and acceptance.

 

I suppose Putin decided to step in before the EU and NATO did, which would have estopped him from attacking a NATO member country. The flurry of visits to Moscow to keep the dialogue going amounted to nothing when Putin concluded that the West was not interested in providing him with security guarantees. He closed the doors on diplomacy paving the way for Ukraine鈥檚 invasion. It鈥檚 pretty clear from years of geopolitical observation that when core interests clash, hot conflicts are inevitable.

 

His rush to war produced instant consequences. It united the people of Ukraine and united a divided Europe. It spurred the U.S. to action, which had been waffling about Ukraine鈥檚 application and hesitant in stopping Putin based on its lame statements, until the invasion. Biting sanctions were swiftly applied. Sovereign nations and global businesses stopped dealing with Russia. Financial assets and properties were frozen and embargoed. Oil and gas prices have spiked. Cost of goods and supply chain dislocations are shaking the global economy.

 

Putin鈥檚 invasion hasn鈥檛 gone well, forcing him to engage in nuclear terrorism. His forces have attacked 3 nuclear stations already and occupied two. If they blow up, Europe will be a wasteland. He has become the world鈥檚 No. 1 villain. His own people are openly protesting his invasion. Ukraine鈥檚 heroic leader, Volodomyr Zelensky, on the other hand, has become the world鈥檚 hero. Ukrainian patriotism and heroism has caught the world鈥檚 attention.

 

Tens of thousands are volunteering to join his International Legion. Sympathetic countries are sending arms, munitions and supplies. Unarmed combat aerial vehicles have been destroying major Russian military assets. Mig-29 jet fighters may soon reduce the military imbalance with Russia. Almost 20,000 anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles and rockets have been delivered, with more on the way. One thing is clear: the peace dividend that flowed from the end of communism in 1991 has ended. War, death and destruction are back on the table.

 

Despite modern technologies to reduce collateral damage through smart and precision weapons, Russian and surrogate forces are now targeting civilian populations indiscriminately. His scorched earth tactics are meant to bludgeon Ukraine to its knees. If the Russian people themselves don鈥檛 stop him, who knows where all this will lead to? Moldova? Georgia? Europe’s overall situation is fast eroding. It鈥檚 hurtling toward a larger conflict with more countries being sucked into it. Mankind鈥檚 facing a potential global economic depression and world war.

 

Yet, here at home, I see no effort to inform the public of the worsening situation abroad and how it could impact the country in many ways. Government’s vacuity assures us of long-term suffering. We should be hearing from government – national and local – what we need to focus on and do as one united nation to survive, and how to go about it. So far, it’s been the sound of silence. We’re on our own as government is hung up, as always, on self-serving politics that鈥檚 getting in the way of exceptional governance required for perilous times like we鈥檙e in now.

 

There are valuable lessons from Ukraine that the government can capitalize on to educate and energize the nation. For example, Zelensky鈥檚 courageous leadership that鈥檚 galvanizing his nation and inspiring the world; the Ukrainian鈥檚 selfless patriotism placing national defense and security above personal safety and family considerations; their military鈥檚 guts and skill to engage a better-equipped and much stronger foe in combat; total warfare 鈥� economic, geopolitical, financial, cyber, information, kinetic; the imperatives for preparedness and self-reliance.

 

Government is perceived to be divided on Ukraine. Despite one public institution condemning Russia鈥檚 invasion of Ukraine by voting for the UNGA resolution, other institutions are calling for neutrality or prefer to remain silent. Yet, they report to the same ultimate power that determines foreign policy, which drives our international relations. The disconnect is obvious and distressing. China鈥檚 taking note for sure. As Russian Garry Kasparov, former world chess champion, echoes: 鈥淣eutrality between good and evil, sides with evil, always.鈥�

 

My antennas are pointing towards preparations for my family’s survival, safety and security, including all our kasambahays and their families. Emergency and crisis plans top the list. It starts with austerity measures to conserve cash for diversion to fundamental needs – shelter options, transport options, food security, medical security, documents security, financial security. It includes networking with like-minded individuals and groups whom we could learn from and reciprocate with our own knowledge. The more the better.

 

Underlying all that is a personal commitment to pro-actively work for peace in whatever venue I may be in, and a deep abiding faith that God helps those who fight for a higher cause and the common good.

听

听

(This article reflects the personal opinion of the author and does not reflect the official stand of the Management Association of the Philippines or MAP.听 The author is member and former Governor of the MAP, Chair of Philippine Council for Foreign Relations, Vice Chair of Pepsi-Cola Products Philippines, Inc. and sits on the boards of other companies as Independent Director. Feedback at <map@map.org.ph> and <rmalunan@gmail.com>.)